Arizona Senator Kyrsten Sinema’s recent break with the Democratic Party may not help her as much as she had hoped. Sinema, who is up for re-election in 2024, has been positioning herself as a centrist and has often broken with her party on key votes. However, political analysts say that her strategy may not be as effective as she had hoped.
Sinema has been a vocal critic of some of the Democratic Party’s more progressive policies and has voted against key pieces of legislation, such as the Green New Deal and the expansion of Medicaid. She has also been one of the most conservative members of the Democratic caucus in the Senate, frequently voting with Republicans.
While Sinema’s positioning as a centrist may play well in Arizona, a state that has a history of electing moderate Democrats, it may not be enough to win re-election in 2024. Political analysts say that Sinema’s break with the party may alienate progressive voters, who are an important base of the Democratic Party.
Moreover, Sinema’s break with the party may also hurt her fundraising efforts. Many of the Democratic Party’s major donors are progressive activists who may be less likely to support a candidate who has broken with the party on key issues.
Sinema’s strategy also comes at a time when the Democratic Party is becoming increasingly progressive and more united in its efforts to push for progressive policies. This means that Sinema may find it harder to differentiate herself from other Democratic candidates, making it more difficult for her to stand out in the crowded field of potential candidates.
Additionally, the political climate in 2024 may be vastly different from the current one, and it’s hard to predict how issues and the electorate will evolve in the next few years. Sinema’s break with the Democratic Party may not help her as much as she had hoped if the political climate changes, and voters are more likely to support more progressive candidates.
In conclusion, while Sinema’s positioning as a centrist may have been a successful strategy in the past, it may not be as effective in the future. Her break with the Democratic Party may alienate progressive voters and hurt her fundraising efforts, making it more challenging for her to win re-election in 2024.